**Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 26–28°C for Toronto on July 26, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (29.5%) and 28°C (35.0%), as traders weigh model consensus against variables that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Key differentiators include the extent of cloud cover and timing of any showers, which limit solar heating and thus suppress peak temperatures, versus periods of clearer skies that could push readings toward 29°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and typical July lake-breeze effects further constrain extremes, keeping odds of 30°C or higher low at around 12%. Historical normals place the July high near 27°C, providing a baseline that reinforces the current distribution. With resolution imminent, updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will likely refine probabilities among the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on July 26?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 26?
28°C 31%
27°C 26%
29°C 17%
26°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Jul 26, 2026
25°C or below
9%
26°C
15%
27°C
26%
28°C
31%
29°C
17%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 31%
27°C 26%
29°C 17%
26°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Jul 26, 2026
25°C or below
$500 Vol.
9%
26°C
$766 Vol.
15%
27°C
$225 Vol.
26%
28°C
$414 Vol.
31%
29°C
$839 Vol.
17%
30°C
$348 Vol.
10%
31°C
$337 Vol.
2%
32°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 26–28°C for Toronto on July 26, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (29.5%) and 28°C (35.0%), as traders weigh model consensus against variables that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Key differentiators include the extent of cloud cover and timing of any showers, which limit solar heating and thus suppress peak temperatures, versus periods of clearer skies that could push readings toward 29°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and typical July lake-breeze effects further constrain extremes, keeping odds of 30°C or higher low at around 12%. Historical normals place the July high near 27°C, providing a baseline that reinforces the current distribution. With resolution imminent, updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will likely refine probabilities among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$4,815Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 26–28°C for Toronto on July 26, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (29.5%) and 28°C (35.0%), as traders weigh model consensus against variables that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Key differentiators include the extent of cloud cover and timing of any showers, which limit solar heating and thus suppress peak temperatures, versus periods of clearer skies that could push readings toward 29°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and typical July lake-breeze effects further constrain extremes, keeping odds of 30°C or higher low at around 12%. Historical normals place the July high near 27°C, providing a baseline that reinforces the current distribution. With resolution imminent, updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will likely refine probabilities among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,815Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 26–28°C for Toronto on July 26, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (29.5%) and 28°C (35.0%), as traders weigh model consensus against variables that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Key differentiators include the extent of cloud cover and timing of any showers, which limit solar heating and thus suppress peak temperatures, versus periods of clearer skies that could push readings toward 29°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and typical July lake-breeze effects further constrain extremes, keeping odds of 30°C or higher low at around 12%. Historical normals place the July high near 27°C, providing a baseline that reinforces the current distribution. With resolution imminent, updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will likely refine probabilities among the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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