Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 14?
27°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$57,768 Vol.
$57,768 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$57,768 Vol.
$57,768 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
18°C or below
$741 Vol.
No
19°C
$881 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,115 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,462 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,596 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,671 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,130 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,868 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,407 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,669 Vol.
Yes
28°C or higher
$10,229 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$57,768Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,768Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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