Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 15?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$38,289 Vol.
$38,289 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$38,289 Vol.
$38,289 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
20°C or below
$121 Vol.
No
21°C
$126 Vol.
No
22°C
$729 Vol.
No
23°C
$443 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,295 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,690 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,410 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,851 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,106 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,097 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$5,420 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$38,289Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,289Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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