The closely matched Polymarket odds for July 2026 JOLTS job openings, centered on the 7.1–7.4 million ranges with the top bucket at 39.5% implied probability, reflect trader uncertainty following the June print of 7.359 million—well below the 7.44 million consensus. Recent softening in openings, concentrated in healthcare, leisure, and wholesale trade, aligns with a cooling labor market evidenced by the 4.2% unemployment rate and subdued nonfarm payroll gains. Market-implied odds price in further moderation amid stable but not accelerating hiring and separation rates near 5.3–5.4 million. Key swing factors include August employment data, any revisions to prior JOLTS figures, and broader signals on consumer spending and corporate hiring plans ahead of the September 1 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7.3M-7.4M 18%
7.2M-7.3M 16%
7.1M-7.2M 15%
7.4M-7.5M 15%
<7.1M
14%
7.1M-7.2M
15%
7.2M-7.3M
16%
7.3M-7.4M
18%
7.4M-7.5M
15%
7.5M-7.6M
12%
7.6M-7.7M
15%
7.7M+
15%
7.3M-7.4M 18%
7.2M-7.3M 16%
7.1M-7.2M 15%
7.4M-7.5M 15%
<7.1M
14%
7.1M-7.2M
15%
7.2M-7.3M
16%
7.3M-7.4M
18%
7.4M-7.5M
15%
7.5M-7.6M
12%
7.6M-7.7M
15%
7.7M+
15%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Polymarket odds for July 2026 JOLTS job openings, centered on the 7.1–7.4 million ranges with the top bucket at 39.5% implied probability, reflect trader uncertainty following the June print of 7.359 million—well below the 7.44 million consensus. Recent softening in openings, concentrated in healthcare, leisure, and wholesale trade, aligns with a cooling labor market evidenced by the 4.2% unemployment rate and subdued nonfarm payroll gains. Market-implied odds price in further moderation amid stable but not accelerating hiring and separation rates near 5.3–5.4 million. Key swing factors include August employment data, any revisions to prior JOLTS figures, and broader signals on consumer spending and corporate hiring plans ahead of the September 1 release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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