National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on April 23?
44-45°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$73,489 Vol.
$73,489 Vol.
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
Yes
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
No
44-45°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$73,489 Vol.
$73,489 Vol.
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
Yes
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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