Current forecasts from major models indicate NYC overnight lows for June 22 centering in the mid-to-upper 60s °F, with trader odds clustered tightly across the 64–73 °F bins due to remaining uncertainty in cloud cover and any light precipitation. Radiative cooling rates will depend on sky conditions—clear skies promote stronger surface heat loss, while increasing humidity and southeasterly flow could limit the drop by several degrees. Urban heat island effects at official stations like LaGuardia further moderate extremes relative to rural analogs. With the summer solstice just passed and typical June climatology near 68 °F, small shifts in the next model runs or frontal timing could easily move the realized minimum across adjacent buckets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on June 22?
66-67°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$43,188 Vol.
$43,188 Vol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$43,188 Vol.
$43,188 Vol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Current forecasts from major models indicate NYC overnight lows for June 22 centering in the mid-to-upper 60s °F, with trader odds clustered tightly across the 64–73 °F bins due to remaining uncertainty in cloud cover and any light precipitation. Radiative cooling rates will depend on sky conditions—clear skies promote stronger surface heat loss, while increasing humidity and southeasterly flow could limit the drop by several degrees. Urban heat island effects at official stations like LaGuardia further moderate extremes relative to rural analogs. With the summer solstice just passed and typical June climatology near 68 °F, small shifts in the next model runs or frontal timing could easily move the realized minimum across adjacent buckets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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