Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on June 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 24?
24°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,380 Vol.
$19,380 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,380 Vol.
$19,380 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
23°C or below
$3,800 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,492 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$2,212 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,712 Vol.
No
27°C
$973 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,442 Vol.
No
29°C
$296 Vol.
No
30°C
$302 Vol.
No
31°C
$362 Vol.
No
32°C
$462 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$326 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19,380Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,380Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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