Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's official station minimum temperature reached 11°C in the early morning hours of April 27, locking in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with late-April climatological norms, where daily lows average around 11°C (52°F) as spring warming elevates baseline temperatures from earlier monthly values near 9°C, supported by clear skies limiting radiative cooling per recent model runs. Strong southerly flows and urban heat island effects further suppressed deeper drops. Realistic challenges—a sudden pre-dawn plunge from unforecast cloud breaks or data revision in KMA's final daily summary—appear improbable given hourly readings holding steady above 10°C; resolution awaits end-of-day verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul on April 27?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 27?
11°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$28,894 Vol.
$28,894 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$28,894 Vol.
$28,894 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
8°C or below
$3,032 Vol.
No
9°C
$2,885 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,558 Vol.
No
11°C
$9,250 Vol.
Yes
12°C
$1,606 Vol.
No
13°C
$717 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,250 Vol.
No
15°C
$718 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,026 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,882 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$3,971 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's official station minimum temperature reached 11°C in the early morning hours of April 27, locking in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with late-April climatological norms, where daily lows average around 11°C (52°F) as spring warming elevates baseline temperatures from earlier monthly values near 9°C, supported by clear skies limiting radiative cooling per recent model runs. Strong southerly flows and urban heat island effects further suppressed deeper drops. Realistic challenges—a sudden pre-dawn plunge from unforecast cloud breaks or data revision in KMA's final daily summary—appear improbable given hourly readings holding steady above 10°C; resolution awaits end-of-day verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$28,894Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's official station minimum temperature reached 11°C in the early morning hours of April 27, locking in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with late-April climatological norms, where daily lows average around 11°C (52°F) as spring warming elevates baseline temperatures from earlier monthly values near 9°C, supported by clear skies limiting radiative cooling per recent model runs. Strong southerly flows and urban heat island effects further suppressed deeper drops. Realistic challenges—a sudden pre-dawn plunge from unforecast cloud breaks or data revision in KMA's final daily summary—appear improbable given hourly readings holding steady above 10°C; resolution awaits end-of-day verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,894Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's official station minimum temperature reached 11°C in the early morning hours of April 27, locking in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with late-April climatological norms, where daily lows average around 11°C (52°F) as spring warming elevates baseline temperatures from earlier monthly values near 9°C, supported by clear skies limiting radiative cooling per recent model runs. Strong southerly flows and urban heat island effects further suppressed deeper drops. Realistic challenges—a sudden pre-dawn plunge from unforecast cloud breaks or data revision in KMA's final daily summary—appear improbable given hourly readings holding steady above 10°C; resolution awaits end-of-day verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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