Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model consensus and absence of cold-air advection or heavy precipitation underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C as the day’s minimum, recorded at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift to lower values would require an unforecasted northerly surge or enhanced radiational cooling from unexpected cloud changes, both low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul on June 9?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,137 Vol.
$22,137 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,137 Vol.
$22,137 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model consensus and absence of cold-air advection or heavy precipitation underpin the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C as the day’s minimum, recorded at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift to lower values would require an unforecasted northerly surge or enhanced radiational cooling from unexpected cloud changes, both low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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