Recent National Meteorological Center and ECMWF model runs indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 13 will reach exactly 20°C amid the mei-yu monsoon regime, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light precipitation limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–24°C lows for the Yangtze Delta region while reflecting current steering patterns that keep warmer air masses in place. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of these stable conditions ahead of final observational data. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 13?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$34,962 Vol.
$34,962 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$34,962 Vol.
$34,962 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent National Meteorological Center and ECMWF model runs indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 13 will reach exactly 20°C amid the mei-yu monsoon regime, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light precipitation limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological June averages of 21–24°C lows for the Yangtze Delta region while reflecting current steering patterns that keep warmer air masses in place. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome incorporates real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of these stable conditions ahead of final observational data. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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