Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and regional sources points to an overnight low near 20–21°C for Shanghai on June 26, aligning with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–22°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian monsoon, and any weak frontal passages that could limit temperature drops. Late-June climatology shows typical minima of 20–23°C, with deviations driven by wind speed and urban heat-island effects. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from ensemble spread in short-range guidance ahead of the final 48-hour model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 26?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$24,683 Vol.
$24,683 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$24,683 Vol.
$24,683 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and regional sources points to an overnight low near 20–21°C for Shanghai on June 26, aligning with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–22°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian monsoon, and any weak frontal passages that could limit temperature drops. Late-June climatology shows typical minima of 20–23°C, with deviations driven by wind speed and urban heat-island effects. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from ensemble spread in short-range guidance ahead of the final 48-hour model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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