**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C minimum in Tokyo on September 8, reflecting model consensus from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS guidance showing an overnight low near 73–74°F (23°C) amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and southerly flow.** This setup limits radiative cooling under humid conditions with dew points near 24–25°C, consistent with early September climatology where typical lows hover around 21–22°C but recent moisture and winds support a slightly warmer floor. Key upcoming data include updated JMA forecasts and any evening observations that could refine the exact minimum before midnight local time. A rapid clearing of skies or unexpected northerly surge could allow modest additional cooling toward 21–22°C, though current atmospheric conditions make that unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
23°C 98%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$15,821 Vol.
$15,821 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
98%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 98%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$15,821 Vol.
$15,821 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
98%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C minimum in Tokyo on September 8, reflecting model consensus from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS guidance showing an overnight low near 73–74°F (23°C) amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and southerly flow.** This setup limits radiative cooling under humid conditions with dew points near 24–25°C, consistent with early September climatology where typical lows hover around 21–22°C but recent moisture and winds support a slightly warmer floor. Key upcoming data include updated JMA forecasts and any evening observations that could refine the exact minimum before midnight local time. A rapid clearing of skies or unexpected northerly surge could allow modest additional cooling toward 21–22°C, though current atmospheric conditions make that unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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