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icon for MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·June 23 Primaries

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·June 23 Primaries

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

Glenn Ivey 98.7%

Jonathan White <1%

Shavonne Hedgepeth <1%

Joseph Gomes <1%

Polymarket

$20,018 Vol.

Glenn Ivey 98.7%

Jonathan White <1%

Shavonne Hedgepeth <1%

Joseph Gomes <1%

Polymarket

$20,018 Vol.

Shavonne Hedgepeth

$769 Vol.

No

Glenn Ivey

$16,223 Vol.

Yes

Jonathan White

$1,455 Vol.

No

Joseph Gomes

$700 Vol.

No

Jakeya Johnson

$871 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Glenn Ivey holds a commanding position in the Maryland 4th congressional district Democratic primary due to his established record since winning the seat in 2022, including strong prior primary and general election margins in this solidly Democratic area. With the June 23 primary just days away, the limited field of challengers—Joseph Gomes, Shavonne Hedgepeth, Jakeya Johnson, and Jonathan White—has generated minimal visible momentum or fundraising visibility. Trader consensus reflects the typical advantages of incumbency, name recognition, and institutional support in low-profile House primaries, where upsets remain rare absent major scandals or redistricting shifts. A late surprise in turnout or an unforeseen endorsement could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments appear unlikely at this stage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,018
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Glenn Ivey holds a commanding position in the Maryland 4th congressional district Democratic primary due to his established record since winning the seat in 2022, including strong prior primary and general election margins in this solidly Democratic area. With the June 23 primary just days away, the limited field of challengers—Joseph Gomes, Shavonne Hedgepeth, Jakeya Johnson, and Jonathan White—has generated minimal visible momentum or fundraising visibility. Trader consensus reflects the typical advantages of incumbency, name recognition, and institutional support in low-profile House primaries, where upsets remain rare absent major scandals or redistricting shifts. A late surprise in turnout or an unforeseen endorsement could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments appear unlikely at this stage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,018
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Glenn Ivey" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Shavonne Hedgepeth" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $20K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 10, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Glenn Ivey" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Shavonne Hedgepeth" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.