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Politik·Primer

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 74%

Tram Nguyen 30.4%

Kevin Larivee 21.6%

Seth Moulton 2.6%

Polymarket

$39,012 Vol.

Dan Koh 74%

Tram Nguyen 30.4%

Kevin Larivee 21.6%

Seth Moulton 2.6%

Polymarket

$39,012 Vol.

Dan Koh

$5,027 Vol.

74%

Tram Nguyen

$5,391 Vol.

25%

Kevin Larivee

$1,555 Vol.

22%

Seth Moulton

$1,909 Vol.

3%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,896 Vol.

2%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,876 Vol.

2%

John Beccia

$1,766 Vol.

2%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$2,572 Vol.

1%

Rachel Creemers

$2,182 Vol.

25%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$5,170 Vol.

1%

Rick Jakious

$3,479 Vol.

1%

Dominick Pangallo

$6,189 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary market at 74% due to his early fundraising dominance, exceeding $3.5 million by March, first-mover advantage securing ballot access via signatures, and recent local endorsements such as from Swampscott officials. The open seat primary on September 1, 2026, features a crowded field with Tram Nguyen at 25% and several others in the low 20s, reflecting a fragmented contest where name recognition and resources matter. An April poll showed high undecided voters near 46% and a statistical tie among top contenders, yet trader consensus has shifted toward Koh amid limited subsequent polling and his organizational edge in this North Shore district race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$39,012
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary market at 74% due to his early fundraising dominance, exceeding $3.5 million by March, first-mover advantage securing ballot access via signatures, and recent local endorsements such as from Swampscott officials. The open seat primary on September 1, 2026, features a crowded field with Tram Nguyen at 25% and several others in the low 20s, reflecting a fragmented contest where name recognition and resources matter. An April poll showed high undecided voters near 46% and a statistical tie among top contenders, yet trader consensus has shifted toward Koh amid limited subsequent polling and his organizational edge in this North Shore district race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$39,012
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Dan Koh" di 74%, diikuti oleh "Tram Nguyen" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 74¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 74% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $39K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Dan Koh" di 74%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 74% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Tram Nguyen" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.