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Politik·Primer

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Primer

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 72%

Mariah Lancaster 8.2%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 4.7%

Tram Nguyen 4.6%

Polymarket

$35,251 Vol.

Dan Koh 72%

Mariah Lancaster 8.2%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 4.7%

Tram Nguyen 4.6%

Polymarket

$35,251 Vol.

Dan Koh

$4,060 Vol.

72%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,881 Vol.

8%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$2,164 Vol.

5%

Tram Nguyen

$4,160 Vol.

5%

Dominick Pangallo

$5,955 Vol.

2%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$5,025 Vol.

2%

John Beccia

$1,724 Vol.

2%

Rachel Creemers

$2,074 Vol.

1%

Rick Jakious

$3,398 Vol.

1%

Seth Moulton

$1,800 Vol.

1%

Kevin Larivee

$1,449 Vol.

1%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,562 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Democratic primary for Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District on September 1, 2026, trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 72.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant early fundraising—over $2 million raised, including $204,000 in January alone, far exceeding rivals' combined totals—and high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, former Mayor Marty Walsh, IBEW Local 2222, and ex-Rep. John Tierney. As the first candidate to qualify for the ballot in late March with over 2,000 signatures, Koh's Biden administration experience bolsters his frontrunner status in a fragmented nine-candidate field. Mariah Lancaster trails at 8.2% amid lower fundraising, while others like Tram Nguyen and John Beccia, despite self-loans and momentum claims in April reports, remain distant; no public polls yet, leaving markets as the key sentiment gauge ahead of forums and potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$35,251
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Democratic primary for Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District on September 1, 2026, trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 72.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant early fundraising—over $2 million raised, including $204,000 in January alone, far exceeding rivals' combined totals—and high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, former Mayor Marty Walsh, IBEW Local 2222, and ex-Rep. John Tierney. As the first candidate to qualify for the ballot in late March with over 2,000 signatures, Koh's Biden administration experience bolsters his frontrunner status in a fragmented nine-candidate field. Mariah Lancaster trails at 8.2% amid lower fundraising, while others like Tram Nguyen and John Beccia, despite self-loans and momentum claims in April reports, remain distant; no public polls yet, leaving markets as the key sentiment gauge ahead of forums and potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$35,251
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Dan Koh" di 72%, diikuti oleh "Mariah Lancaster" di 8%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 72¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $35.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Dan Koh" di 72%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Mariah Lancaster" di 8%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.