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icon for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 100.0%

James Osyf <1%

Matt Strickler <1%

Patrick Mosolf <1%

Polymarket

$12,635 Vol.

Elaine Luria 100.0%

James Osyf <1%

Matt Strickler <1%

Patrick Mosolf <1%

Polymarket

$12,635 Vol.

James Osyf

$1,629 Vol.

No

Matt Strickler

$822 Vol.

No

Patrick Mosolf

$1,712 Vol.

No

Burk Stringfellow

$821 Vol.

No

Elaine Luria

$5,024 Vol.

Yes

Nila Devanath

$1,399 Vol.

No

Nicolaus Sleister

$1,227 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elaine Luria secured the Democratic nomination for Virginia's 2nd Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, reflecting traders' consensus around her established profile as a former two-term representative and Navy veteran. Key factors include substantial early fundraising, endorsements from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and state leaders such as Gov. Abigail Spanberger, and name recognition in a competitive swing district anchored by military communities. Her opponents, including physician Nila Devanath and former USAID official Patrick Mosolf, trailed significantly in resources and visibility. With results now projected, markets price in near-certainty of her nomination ahead of the November rematch against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification or any procedural challenges, though historical patterns in Virginia primaries suggest these are unlikely to alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,635
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elaine Luria secured the Democratic nomination for Virginia's 2nd Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, reflecting traders' consensus around her established profile as a former two-term representative and Navy veteran. Key factors include substantial early fundraising, endorsements from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and state leaders such as Gov. Abigail Spanberger, and name recognition in a competitive swing district anchored by military communities. Her opponents, including physician Nila Devanath and former USAID official Patrick Mosolf, trailed significantly in resources and visibility. With results now projected, markets price in near-certainty of her nomination ahead of the November rematch against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification or any procedural challenges, though historical patterns in Virginia primaries suggest these are unlikely to alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,635
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Elaine Luria" di 100%, diikuti oleh "James Osyf" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $12.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Elaine Luria" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "James Osyf" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.