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Politik·Primer

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 86%

Matt Strickler 7.0%

James Osyf 4.2%

Burk Stringfellow 4.2%

Polymarket
BARU

Elaine Luria 86%

Matt Strickler 7.0%

James Osyf 4.2%

Burk Stringfellow 4.2%

Polymarket
BARU

Elaine Luria

$1,330 Vol.

86%

Matt Strickler

$594 Vol.

7%

James Osyf

$1,145 Vol.

4%

Burk Stringfellow

$616 Vol.

4%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,514 Vol.

3%

Nila Devanath

$883 Vol.

1%

Nicolaus Sleister

$1,035 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Representative Elaine Luria holds a dominant position in the Virginia 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, due to her prior service in the seat from 2019 to 2023 and recent national party backing. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the general election contest to its Red to Blue list in February 2026, directing added resources toward Luria for the rematch against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. Luria's substantial fundraising advantage and name recognition among Democratic primary voters have consolidated support ahead of lesser-known challengers. Other candidates, including Nila Devanath, Patrick Mosolf, and John Stringfellow, remain active but trail significantly in visibility and resources, leaving limited paths to overtake the frontrunner before primary voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,117
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Representative Elaine Luria holds a dominant position in the Virginia 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, due to her prior service in the seat from 2019 to 2023 and recent national party backing. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the general election contest to its Red to Blue list in February 2026, directing added resources toward Luria for the rematch against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. Luria's substantial fundraising advantage and name recognition among Democratic primary voters have consolidated support ahead of lesser-known challengers. Other candidates, including Nila Devanath, Patrick Mosolf, and John Stringfellow, remain active but trail significantly in visibility and resources, leaving limited paths to overtake the frontrunner before primary voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,117
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Elaine Luria" di 86%, diikuti oleh "Matt Strickler" di 7%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 86¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 86% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Elaine Luria" di 86%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 86% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Matt Strickler" di 7%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.