Historical rarity and modern pitching management drive the strong "No" consensus at 91.5% implied probability for any perfect game in the 2026 MLB season. Only 24 have occurred across more than 150 years and 240,000-plus games, with the most recent in 2023 and none through the first four-plus months of 2026. Strict pitch-count protocols, early bullpen hooks, and matchup-driven relief appearances sharply reduce complete-game opportunities, while long historical droughts of 10–13 seasons without a perfecto underscore the challenge. Roughly 50–60 games remain per team, yet the combination of defensive shifts, specialized relievers, and elite offensive depth continues to limit nine-inning dominance by any starter.