Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition government, formed after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, continues to demonstrate stability midway through its term ending in 2029, driving trader consensus toward an 87.9% implied probability he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent legislative actions, including the introduction of three delimitation bills on April 16 amid opposition criticism, signal proactive governance without signs of internal fractures or no-confidence threats. Despite opposition figures like Arvind Kejriwal predicting an early exit in March statements, no snap election calls, health concerns, or coalition breakdowns have emerged in the past month. State assembly polls in four states and one union territory later in 2026 could test alliances, but historical patterns favor continuity absent major disruptions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$20,957 Vol.
$20,957 Vol.
$20,957 Vol.
$20,957 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's NDA coalition government, formed after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, continues to demonstrate stability midway through its term ending in 2029, driving trader consensus toward an 87.9% implied probability he remains in office through December 31, 2026. Recent legislative actions, including the introduction of three delimitation bills on April 16 amid opposition criticism, signal proactive governance without signs of internal fractures or no-confidence threats. Despite opposition figures like Arvind Kejriwal predicting an early exit in March statements, no snap election calls, health concerns, or coalition breakdowns have emerged in the past month. State assembly polls in four states and one union territory later in 2026 could test alliances, but historical patterns favor continuity absent major disruptions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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