**Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister runs until June 2029 under India’s fixed five-year Lok Sabha cycle, with the next general election scheduled by April 2029.** No midterm election or automatic removal mechanism exists short of a successful no-confidence vote, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have materialized. As of early September 2026, Modi continues active governance, including public statements on reforms and international diplomacy, and recently marked his milestone as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister in June. Official fact-checks by the Press Information Bureau have repeatedly debunked circulating fake resignation letters from July and August 2026. While opposition voices have claimed his “final phase,” these remain partisan rhetoric without supporting institutional developments. Economic pressures and localized protests have prompted cabinet adjustments but have not altered the BJP-led NDA’s parliamentary position or triggered leadership transition signals. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to Modi remaining in office through the end of 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
5% peluang
$250,024 Vol.
$250,024 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
5% peluang
$250,024 Vol.
$250,024 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister runs until June 2029 under India’s fixed five-year Lok Sabha cycle, with the next general election scheduled by April 2029.** No midterm election or automatic removal mechanism exists short of a successful no-confidence vote, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have materialized. As of early September 2026, Modi continues active governance, including public statements on reforms and international diplomacy, and recently marked his milestone as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister in June.
Official fact-checks by the Press Information Bureau have repeatedly debunked circulating fake resignation letters from July and August 2026. While opposition voices have claimed his “final phase,” these remain partisan rhetoric without supporting institutional developments. Economic pressures and localized protests have prompted cabinet adjustments but have not altered the BJP-led NDA’s parliamentary position or triggered leadership transition signals. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to Modi remaining in office through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$250,024Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister runs until June 2029 under India’s fixed five-year Lok Sabha cycle, with the next general election scheduled by April 2029.** No midterm election or automatic removal mechanism exists short of a successful no-confidence vote, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have materialized. As of early September 2026, Modi continues active governance, including public statements on reforms and international diplomacy, and recently marked his milestone as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister in June.
Official fact-checks by the Press Information Bureau have repeatedly debunked circulating fake resignation letters from July and August 2026. While opposition voices have claimed his “final phase,” these remain partisan rhetoric without supporting institutional developments. Economic pressures and localized protests have prompted cabinet adjustments but have not altered the BJP-led NDA’s parliamentary position or triggered leadership transition signals. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to Modi remaining in office through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$250,024Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister runs until June 2029 under India’s fixed five-year Lok Sabha cycle, with the next general election scheduled by April 2029.** No midterm election or automatic removal mechanism exists short of a successful no-confidence vote, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have materialized. As of early September 2026, Modi continues active governance, including public statements on reforms and international diplomacy, and recently marked his milestone as India’s longest-serving elected prime minister in June. Official fact-checks by the Press Information Bureau have repeatedly debunked circulating fake resignation letters from July and August 2026. While opposition voices have claimed his “final phase,” these remain partisan rhetoric without supporting institutional developments. Economic pressures and localized protests have prompted cabinet adjustments but have not altered the BJP-led NDA’s parliamentary position or triggered leadership transition signals. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to Modi remaining in office through the end of 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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