Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that the company has “no plans of IPOing before 2028” remains the dominant factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the “No IPO before 2028” outcome holding the highest implied probability. The AI search startup has continued raising substantial private capital, most recently closing rounds at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025 and reaching roughly $22.6 billion shortly thereafter, giving it ample runway without public-market pressure. Strong user growth and subscription revenue further support staying private while competing in the large language model-powered search space. With no subsequent announcements or regulatory filings indicating an earlier timeline, the market reflects sustained preference for extended private status over any near-term listing at the listed valuation brackets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNo IPO before 2028 40%
75B–100B 11.0%
<20B 6.7%
20B–30B 6.0%
$142,731 Vol.
$142,731 Vol.
<20B
7%
20B–30B
6%
30B–40B
6%
40B–50B
5%
50B–75B
6%
75B–100B
11%
100B+
6%
No IPO before 2028
40%
No IPO before 2028 40%
75B–100B 11.0%
<20B 6.7%
20B–30B 6.0%
$142,731 Vol.
$142,731 Vol.
<20B
7%
20B–30B
6%
30B–40B
6%
40B–50B
5%
50B–75B
6%
75B–100B
11%
100B+
6%
No IPO before 2028
40%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that the company has “no plans of IPOing before 2028” remains the dominant factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the “No IPO before 2028” outcome holding the highest implied probability. The AI search startup has continued raising substantial private capital, most recently closing rounds at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025 and reaching roughly $22.6 billion shortly thereafter, giving it ample runway without public-market pressure. Strong user growth and subscription revenue further support staying private while competing in the large language model-powered search space. With no subsequent announcements or regulatory filings indicating an earlier timeline, the market reflects sustained preference for extended private status over any near-term listing at the listed valuation brackets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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