Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability against a Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term public plans amid robust private funding—most recently securing commitments at a $20-24 billion valuation on secondary markets like Forge and WLTH as of April 2026. Explosive growth from the agent orchestration pivot, with "Computer" launching to double quarterly revenue to $450 million+ ARR and 100 million monthly active users, has boosted 50-75 billion and 40-50 billion market cap buckets to 22.6% and 15.6%, reflecting private valuation trajectories if listing occurs later. No S-1 filing or regulatory signals emerged in Q1 2026, while lawsuits from publishers linger; watch for Series E close or enterprise partnerships as catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNo IPO before 2028 37%
50B–75B 21.8%
40B–50B 16.8%
75B–100B 9.7%
$130,513 Vol.
$130,513 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
4%
20B–30B
3%
30B–40B
4%
40B–50B
15%
50B–75B
22%
75B–100B
10%
100B+
7%
No IPO before 2028
37%
No IPO before 2028 37%
50B–75B 21.8%
40B–50B 16.8%
75B–100B 9.7%
$130,513 Vol.
$130,513 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
$4,428 Vol.
4%
20B–30B
$5,845 Vol.
3%
30B–40B
$0 Vol.
4%
40B–50B
$0 Vol.
15%
50B–75B
$6,171 Vol.
22%
75B–100B
$3,258 Vol.
10%
100B+
$4,500 Vol.
7%
No IPO before 2028
$106,312 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability against a Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term public plans amid robust private funding—most recently securing commitments at a $20-24 billion valuation on secondary markets like Forge and WLTH as of April 2026. Explosive growth from the agent orchestration pivot, with "Computer" launching to double quarterly revenue to $450 million+ ARR and 100 million monthly active users, has boosted 50-75 billion and 40-50 billion market cap buckets to 22.6% and 15.6%, reflecting private valuation trajectories if listing occurs later. No S-1 filing or regulatory signals emerged in Q1 2026, while lawsuits from publishers linger; watch for Series E close or enterprise partnerships as catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$130,513Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability against a Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term public plans amid robust private funding—most recently securing commitments at a $20-24 billion valuation on secondary markets like Forge and WLTH as of April 2026. Explosive growth from the agent orchestration pivot, with "Computer" launching to double quarterly revenue to $450 million+ ARR and 100 million monthly active users, has boosted 50-75 billion and 40-50 billion market cap buckets to 22.6% and 15.6%, reflecting private valuation trajectories if listing occurs later. No S-1 filing or regulatory signals emerged in Q1 2026, while lawsuits from publishers linger; watch for Series E close or enterprise partnerships as catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$130,513Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability against a Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term public plans amid robust private funding—most recently securing commitments at a $20-24 billion valuation on secondary markets like Forge and WLTH as of April 2026. Explosive growth from the agent orchestration pivot, with "Computer" launching to double quarterly revenue to $450 million+ ARR and 100 million monthly active users, has boosted 50-75 billion and 40-50 billion market cap buckets to 22.6% and 15.6%, reflecting private valuation trajectories if listing occurs later. No S-1 filing or regulatory signals emerged in Q1 2026, while lawsuits from publishers linger; watch for Series E close or enterprise partnerships as catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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