Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 87.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any SEC S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-April, despite the company's February fundraising of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation. This massive liquidity infusion—led by JPMorgan—reduces immediate public market pressure for the data lakehouse and AI platform leader, allowing focus on enterprise AI adoption amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake and cloud giants like AWS and Azure. Typical IPO timelines, including regulatory review and roadshows, make a Q2 completion unlikely without imminent catalysts like an S-1 drop; scattered low probabilities on high market caps (e.g., 250B+ at 5.1%) reflect hype around Databricks' $4B+ ARR growth but hinge on execution risks and macro conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNo IPO by June 30, 2026 87.1%
250B+ 5.3%
125–150B 2.1%
175–200B 1.8%
$371,765 Vol.
$371,765 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
1%
100–125B
1%
125–150B
2%
150–175B
1%
175–200B
2%
200–250B
1%
250B+
5%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
87%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 87.1%
250B+ 5.3%
125–150B 2.1%
175–200B 1.8%
$371,765 Vol.
$371,765 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
$32,447 Vol.
1%
100–125B
$38,807 Vol.
1%
125–150B
$25,374 Vol.
2%
150–175B
$59,046 Vol.
1%
175–200B
$57,421 Vol.
2%
200–250B
$19,385 Vol.
1%
250B+
$125,400 Vol.
5%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$13,885 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 87.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any SEC S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-April, despite the company's February fundraising of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation. This massive liquidity infusion—led by JPMorgan—reduces immediate public market pressure for the data lakehouse and AI platform leader, allowing focus on enterprise AI adoption amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake and cloud giants like AWS and Azure. Typical IPO timelines, including regulatory review and roadshows, make a Q2 completion unlikely without imminent catalysts like an S-1 drop; scattered low probabilities on high market caps (e.g., 250B+ at 5.1%) reflect hype around Databricks' $4B+ ARR growth but hinge on execution risks and macro conditions.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$371,765Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 87.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any SEC S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-April, despite the company's February fundraising of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation. This massive liquidity infusion—led by JPMorgan—reduces immediate public market pressure for the data lakehouse and AI platform leader, allowing focus on enterprise AI adoption amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake and cloud giants like AWS and Azure. Typical IPO timelines, including regulatory review and roadshows, make a Q2 completion unlikely without imminent catalysts like an S-1 drop; scattered low probabilities on high market caps (e.g., 250B+ at 5.1%) reflect hype around Databricks' $4B+ ARR growth but hinge on execution risks and macro conditions.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$371,765Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 87.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any SEC S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-April, despite the company's February fundraising of $5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion private valuation. This massive liquidity infusion—led by JPMorgan—reduces immediate public market pressure for the data lakehouse and AI platform leader, allowing focus on enterprise AI adoption amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake and cloud giants like AWS and Azure. Typical IPO timelines, including regulatory review and roadshows, make a Q2 completion unlikely without imminent catalysts like an S-1 drop; scattered low probabilities on high market caps (e.g., 250B+ at 5.1%) reflect hype around Databricks' $4B+ ARR growth but hinge on execution risks and macro conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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