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icon for Quebec General Election: Second Place
Dunia·Kanada

Quebec General Election: Second Place

icon for Quebec General Election: Second Place
Dunia·Kanada

Quebec General Election: Second Place

PQ 48%

PCQ 48%

PVQ 39%

CAQ 26%

Polymarket
BARU

PQ 48%

PCQ 48%

PVQ 39%

CAQ 26%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for PQ

PQ

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for PCQ

PCQ

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for PVQ

PVQ

$146 Vol.

39%

icon for CAQ

CAQ

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for QS

QS

$80 Vol.

26%

icon for PLQ

PLQ

$10 Vol.

47%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support, while the Parti Libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec remain closely matched near 23 percent for second place. New leadership under Charles Milliard for the PLQ and Christine Fréchette for the CAQ has coincided with gradual consolidation of federalist support, though the vote remains fragmented across regions and linguistic groups. Québec solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec draw smaller but potentially decisive shares in specific ridings, contributing to uncertainty over final ordering. Trader prices reflect this tight contest for second, with the PLQ and QS holding the highest implied probabilities amid shifting second-choice preferences and undecided voters. Campaign developments such as official debates, platform releases, and turnout patterns in Montreal versus francophone ridings outside the region could widen gaps among contenders.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$236
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30 percent support, while the Parti Libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec remain closely matched near 23 percent for second place. New leadership under Charles Milliard for the PLQ and Christine Fréchette for the CAQ has coincided with gradual consolidation of federalist support, though the vote remains fragmented across regions and linguistic groups. Québec solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec draw smaller but potentially decisive shares in specific ridings, contributing to uncertainty over final ordering. Trader prices reflect this tight contest for second, with the PLQ and QS holding the highest implied probabilities amid shifting second-choice preferences and undecided voters. Campaign developments such as official debates, platform releases, and turnout patterns in Montreal versus francophone ridings outside the region could widen gaps among contenders.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$236
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

Terkait

icon for Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?

Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?

44%
icon for Apakah Parti Québécois akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan umum Quebec 2026?

Apakah Parti Québécois akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan umum Quebec 2026?

72%
Ya
icon for Will the PQ win 80 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Will the PQ win 80 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

27%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Quebec General Election: Second Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "PLQ" di 47%, diikuti oleh "CAQ" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 47¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Quebec General Election: Second Place" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 27, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Quebec General Election: Second Place," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Quebec General Election: Second Place" adalah "PLQ" di 47%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "CAQ" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Quebec General Election: Second Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.