**PQ leads Quebec’s October 5 general election as the clear frontrunner in seat projections, reflecting sustained polling strength and gains from the prior CAQ government’s decline.** Recent Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis surveys place the Parti Québécois at 28–30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 23–27 percent and the PLQ at 20–23 percent, with smaller shares for the PCQ and QS. The PQ has benefited from by-election victories and francophone voter consolidation under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, while the federalist vote remains split between the CAQ under new premier Christine Fréchette and the Liberals under Charles Milliard. Early campaign polls show the CAQ closing the gap at the Liberals’ expense, yet seat models still assign the PQ the highest probability of winning the most ridings, often in minority territory. Trader consensus aligns with these dynamics, pricing in the PQ’s structural edge in a fragmented National Assembly.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Pemilihan Umum Quebec
Pemenang Pemilihan Umum Quebec
PQ 69%
CAQ 27%
PLQ 5%
PCQ <1%
$874,899 Vol.
$874,899 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
69%
CAQ
27%
PLQ
5%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 69%
CAQ 27%
PLQ 5%
PCQ <1%
$874,899 Vol.
$874,899 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$114,772 Vol.
69%
CAQ
$135,946 Vol.
27%
PLQ
$121,637 Vol.
5%
PCQ
$240,499 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 Vol.
<1%
QS
$104,523 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ leads Quebec’s October 5 general election as the clear frontrunner in seat projections, reflecting sustained polling strength and gains from the prior CAQ government’s decline.** Recent Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis surveys place the Parti Québécois at 28–30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 23–27 percent and the PLQ at 20–23 percent, with smaller shares for the PCQ and QS. The PQ has benefited from by-election victories and francophone voter consolidation under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, while the federalist vote remains split between the CAQ under new premier Christine Fréchette and the Liberals under Charles Milliard. Early campaign polls show the CAQ closing the gap at the Liberals’ expense, yet seat models still assign the PQ the highest probability of winning the most ridings, often in minority territory. Trader consensus aligns with these dynamics, pricing in the PQ’s structural edge in a fragmented National Assembly.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$874,899Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ leads Quebec’s October 5 general election as the clear frontrunner in seat projections, reflecting sustained polling strength and gains from the prior CAQ government’s decline.** Recent Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis surveys place the Parti Québécois at 28–30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 23–27 percent and the PLQ at 20–23 percent, with smaller shares for the PCQ and QS. The PQ has benefited from by-election victories and francophone voter consolidation under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, while the federalist vote remains split between the CAQ under new premier Christine Fréchette and the Liberals under Charles Milliard. Early campaign polls show the CAQ closing the gap at the Liberals’ expense, yet seat models still assign the PQ the highest probability of winning the most ridings, often in minority territory. Trader consensus aligns with these dynamics, pricing in the PQ’s structural edge in a fragmented National Assembly.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$874,899Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**PQ leads Quebec’s October 5 general election as the clear frontrunner in seat projections, reflecting sustained polling strength and gains from the prior CAQ government’s decline.** Recent Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis surveys place the Parti Québécois at 28–30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 23–27 percent and the PLQ at 20–23 percent, with smaller shares for the PCQ and QS. The PQ has benefited from by-election victories and francophone voter consolidation under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, while the federalist vote remains split between the CAQ under new premier Christine Fréchette and the Liberals under Charles Milliard. Early campaign polls show the CAQ closing the gap at the Liberals’ expense, yet seat models still assign the PQ the highest probability of winning the most ridings, often in minority territory. Trader consensus aligns with these dynamics, pricing in the PQ’s structural edge in a fragmented National Assembly.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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