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Politik·DHS

Kapan penutupan DHS akan berakhir?

Market icon
Politik·DHS

Kapan penutupan DHS akan berakhir?

Apr 30

Jul 31

Apr 30

Jul 31

After April 30 79.7%

21-24 April 5.9%

25-28 April 5.5%

April 29-30 5.5%

Polymarket

$954,117 Vol.

After April 30 79.7%

21-24 April 5.9%

25-28 April 5.5%

April 29-30 5.5%

Polymarket

$954,117 Vol.

17-20 April

$407,376 Vol.

1%

21-24 April

$50,631 Vol.

6%

25-28 April

$13,424 Vol.

6%

April 29-30

$13,987 Vol.

6%

After April 30

$160,727 Vol.

80%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Homeland Security partial shutdown, now over 60 days old and the longest in U.S. history since starting February 14, reflects a congressional stalemate over appropriations, particularly funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection amid Democratic concerns on enforcement policies. Senate Democrats passed unanimous continuing resolutions twice to fund non-enforcement DHS components like TSA, FEMA, and CISA, but House Republicans have blocked votes, citing needs for full immigration funding and multi-year plans, as highlighted in recent hearings where officials warned of backlogs, cyber vulnerabilities, and depleted disaster relief funds. Trader consensus at 80% for after April 30 implies skepticism on near-term resolution despite ongoing GOP leadership talks and President Trump's pay memorandums for furloughed staff, with low odds for April windows due to recess delays and procedural hurdles.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$954,117
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Homeland Security partial shutdown, now over 60 days old and the longest in U.S. history since starting February 14, reflects a congressional stalemate over appropriations, particularly funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection amid Democratic concerns on enforcement policies. Senate Democrats passed unanimous continuing resolutions twice to fund non-enforcement DHS components like TSA, FEMA, and CISA, but House Republicans have blocked votes, citing needs for full immigration funding and multi-year plans, as highlighted in recent hearings where officials warned of backlogs, cyber vulnerabilities, and depleted disaster relief funds. Trader consensus at 80% for after April 30 implies skepticism on near-term resolution despite ongoing GOP leadership talks and President Trump's pay memorandums for furloughed staff, with low odds for April windows due to recess delays and procedural hurdles.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$954,117
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Kapan penutupan DHS akan berakhir?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "After April 30" di 80%, diikuti oleh "21-24 April" di 6%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 80¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Kapan penutupan DHS akan berakhir?" telah menghasilkan $954.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Kapan penutupan DHS akan berakhir?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Kapan penutupan DHS akan berakhir?" adalah "After April 30" di 80%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "21-24 April" di 6%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Kapan penutupan DHS akan berakhir?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.