Traders assign a 97.3% implied probability against abolishing the Federal Reserve before 2027 because the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act (H.R. 1846/S. 869), introduced in 2025, remains stalled in committee with no floor action or alternative proposals advancing. The Fed’s statutory mandate under the 1913 Federal Reserve Act continues to anchor monetary policy, including FOMC decisions on the federal funds rate, inflation targeting, and financial stability oversight amid ongoing 2026 stress tests and rate projections. Institutional continuity is reinforced by recent leadership transitions and congressional focus on personnel rather than structural repeal. Tail-risk scenarios, such as a severe financial crisis or sweeping political realignment enabling bicameral repeal, remain low-probability outliers given the multi-year legislative barriers and historical precedent.