The strong trader consensus against resignation by the end of 2026 reflects the absence of any public statements, credible reports, or institutional signals indicating that the president plans to leave office early, consistent with historical patterns where U.S. presidents complete their terms absent extreme external pressure. As of mid-September 2026, ongoing legislative priorities, cabinet activities, and campaign positioning continue without disruption from resignation speculation. Realistic scenarios that could still shift implied probabilities include sudden health events requiring medical incapacity, major legal developments such as convictions or indictments prompting institutional responses, or unforeseen political crises that erode internal party support.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiYa
4% peluang
$538,177 Vol.
$538,177 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Ya
4% peluang
$538,177 Vol.
$538,177 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The strong trader consensus against resignation by the end of 2026 reflects the absence of any public statements, credible reports, or institutional signals indicating that the president plans to leave office early, consistent with historical patterns where U.S. presidents complete their terms absent extreme external pressure. As of mid-September 2026, ongoing legislative priorities, cabinet activities, and campaign positioning continue without disruption from resignation speculation. Realistic scenarios that could still shift implied probabilities include sudden health events requiring medical incapacity, major legal developments such as convictions or indictments prompting institutional responses, or unforeseen political crises that erode internal party support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$538,177Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The strong trader consensus against resignation by the end of 2026 reflects the absence of any public statements, credible reports, or institutional signals indicating that the president plans to leave office early, consistent with historical patterns where U.S. presidents complete their terms absent extreme external pressure. As of mid-September 2026, ongoing legislative priorities, cabinet activities, and campaign positioning continue without disruption from resignation speculation. Realistic scenarios that could still shift implied probabilities include sudden health events requiring medical incapacity, major legal developments such as convictions or indictments prompting institutional responses, or unforeseen political crises that erode internal party support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$538,177Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...The strong trader consensus against resignation by the end of 2026 reflects the absence of any public statements, credible reports, or institutional signals indicating that the president plans to leave office early, consistent with historical patterns where U.S. presidents complete their terms absent extreme external pressure. As of mid-September 2026, ongoing legislative priorities, cabinet activities, and campaign positioning continue without disruption from resignation speculation. Realistic scenarios that could still shift implied probabilities include sudden health events requiring medical incapacity, major legal developments such as convictions or indictments prompting institutional responses, or unforeseen political crises that erode internal party support.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan