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icon for Siapa yang akan meninggalkan Administrasi Trump sebelum 2027?
Politik·Trump

Siapa yang akan meninggalkan Administrasi Trump sebelum 2027?

icon for Siapa yang akan meninggalkan Administrasi Trump sebelum 2027?
Politik·Trump

Siapa yang akan meninggalkan Administrasi Trump sebelum 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$1,400,565 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,400,565 Vol.

Polymarket

Kristi Noem

$97,520 Vol.

40%

Dan Scavino

$137 Vol.

29%

Pete Hegseth

$126,658 Vol.

24%

Howard Lutnick

$94,437 Vol.

24%

Kash Patel

$304,006 Vol.

24%

Susie Wiles

$55,831 Vol.

24%

Lee Zeldin

$31,610 Vol.

26%

David Sacks

$9,151 Vol.

22%

Markwayne Mullin

$2,631 Vol.

24%

Tom Homan

$187 Vol.

26%

John Ratcliffe

$554 Vol.

13%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$90,850 Vol.

13%

Russell Vought

$284 Vol.

17%

Scott Bessent

$7,892 Vol.

9%

Marco Rubio

$19,710 Vol.

8%

Stephen Miller

$3,769 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.The second Trump administration has seen elevated turnover since early 2026, with multiple Senate-confirmed officials departing through firings, resignations, and other exits. Cabinet-level changes include the March firing of DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, the April ouster of Attorney General Pam Bondi, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer’s resignation, and DNI Tulsi Gabbard’s May departure for family medical reasons. Additional exits encompass White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt at the end of August and Army Secretary Dan Driscoll amid Pentagon tensions. Broader data show over 930 non-Senate-confirmed political appointees left in the first 18 months, a rate exceeding prior administrations, driven by policy implementation friction, agency restructuring, and internal dynamics. Midterm elections in November 2026 and ongoing staffing reviews represent key upcoming factors that could influence further departures before 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$1,400,565
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.The second Trump administration has seen elevated turnover since early 2026, with multiple Senate-confirmed officials departing through firings, resignations, and other exits. Cabinet-level changes include the March firing of DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, the April ouster of Attorney General Pam Bondi, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer’s resignation, and DNI Tulsi Gabbard’s May departure for family medical reasons. Additional exits encompass White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt at the end of August and Army Secretary Dan Driscoll amid Pentagon tensions. Broader data show over 930 non-Senate-confirmed political appointees left in the first 18 months, a rate exceeding prior administrations, driven by policy implementation friction, agency restructuring, and internal dynamics. Midterm elections in November 2026 and ongoing staffing reviews represent key upcoming factors that could influence further departures before 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$1,400,565
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Terkait

icon for Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

3%
icon for Trump keluar sebagai Presiden sebelum 2027?

Trump keluar sebagai Presiden sebelum 2027?

6%
Ya
icon for Apakah Trump akan mengundurkan diri pada atau sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

Apakah Trump akan mengundurkan diri pada atau sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

3%
Ya

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Siapa yang akan meninggalkan Administrasi Trump sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 21 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Karoline Leavitt" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Tulsi Gabbard" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Siapa yang akan meninggalkan Administrasi Trump sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $1.4 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Siapa yang akan meninggalkan Administrasi Trump sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 21 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Siapa yang akan meninggalkan Administrasi Trump sebelum 2027?" adalah "Karoline Leavitt" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Tulsi Gabbard" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Siapa yang akan meninggalkan Administrasi Trump sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.