Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects expectations of modest Federal Reserve rate cuts before 2027, driven by the March 18 FOMC's decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75% amid sticky inflation, with core CPI rising 0.2% in March 2026. The dot plot projects a median 3.4% rate by year-end 2026, signaling gradual easing as unemployment edges to 4.3% and growth moderates, though resurgent oil prices cap aggressive cuts. CME FedWatch prices over 95% odds of no change at the April 28–29 meeting, with June 16–17 as the next pivot amid key PCE and payrolls data; markets price in limited downside to low-3% levels barring recessionary shocks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiApa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?
Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?
$1,350,264 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 5,5%
6%
↑ 5,25%
4%
↑ 5,0%
4%
↑ 4,75%
4%
↑ 4,5%
6%
↑ 4,25%
8%
↓ 3,25%
69%
↓ 3,0%
30%
↓ 2,75%
15%
↓ 2,5%
9%
↓ 2,25%
8%
↓ 2,0%
7%
↓ 1,75%
7%
↓ 1,5%
7%
↓ 1,25%
4%
↓ 1,0%
7%
↓ 0,75%
8%
↓ 0,5%
4%
↓ 0,25%
5%
↓ 0%
3%
$1,350,264 Vol.
↑ 5,5%
$43,964 Vol.
6%
↑ 5,25%
$139,602 Vol.
4%
↑ 5,0%
$11,697 Vol.
4%
↑ 4,75%
$70,115 Vol.
4%
↑ 4,5%
$13,865 Vol.
6%
↑ 4,25%
$22,844 Vol.
8%
↓ 3,25%
$56,441 Vol.
69%
↓ 3,0%
$235,904 Vol.
30%
↓ 2,75%
$268,128 Vol.
15%
↓ 2,5%
$180,136 Vol.
9%
↓ 2,25%
$23,063 Vol.
8%
↓ 2,0%
$15,119 Vol.
7%
↓ 1,75%
$7,427 Vol.
7%
↓ 1,5%
$24,878 Vol.
7%
↓ 1,25%
$938 Vol.
4%
↓ 1,0%
$1,761 Vol.
7%
↓ 0,75%
$388 Vol.
8%
↓ 0,5%
$94,977 Vol.
4%
↓ 0,25%
$119,265 Vol.
5%
↓ 0%
$10,745 Vol.
3%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects expectations of modest Federal Reserve rate cuts before 2027, driven by the March 18 FOMC's decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75% amid sticky inflation, with core CPI rising 0.2% in March 2026. The dot plot projects a median 3.4% rate by year-end 2026, signaling gradual easing as unemployment edges to 4.3% and growth moderates, though resurgent oil prices cap aggressive cuts. CME FedWatch prices over 95% odds of no change at the April 28–29 meeting, with June 16–17 as the next pivot amid key PCE and payrolls data; markets price in limited downside to low-3% levels barring recessionary shocks.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Volume
$1,350,264Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects expectations of modest Federal Reserve rate cuts before 2027, driven by the March 18 FOMC's decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75% amid sticky inflation, with core CPI rising 0.2% in March 2026. The dot plot projects a median 3.4% rate by year-end 2026, signaling gradual easing as unemployment edges to 4.3% and growth moderates, though resurgent oil prices cap aggressive cuts. CME FedWatch prices over 95% odds of no change at the April 28–29 meeting, with June 16–17 as the next pivot amid key PCE and payrolls data; markets price in limited downside to low-3% levels barring recessionary shocks.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,350,264Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects expectations of modest Federal Reserve rate cuts before 2027, driven by the March 18 FOMC's decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75% amid sticky inflation, with core CPI rising 0.2% in March 2026. The dot plot projects a median 3.4% rate by year-end 2026, signaling gradual easing as unemployment edges to 4.3% and growth moderates, though resurgent oil prices cap aggressive cuts. CME FedWatch prices over 95% odds of no change at the April 28–29 meeting, with June 16–17 as the next pivot amid key PCE and payrolls data; markets price in limited downside to low-3% levels barring recessionary shocks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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