Trader consensus prices the "No" outcome at 97% for Jerome Powell facing incarceration before 2027, driven by the complete absence of criminal investigations, indictments, or regulatory actions against the Federal Reserve Chair. Powell's role centers on monetary policy decisions, including Fed funds rate settings and responses to inflation and labor market data, without any personal legal exposure in official filings or proceedings. Central bank independence and historical precedent further reinforce this positioning, as no comparable U.S. monetary authority leader has encountered such outcomes in modern times. Remote tail risks could involve extreme political developments or novel legal theories, though these remain unsupported by current facts and would require major unforeseen shifts to influence resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3% peluang
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
3% peluang
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus prices the "No" outcome at 97% for Jerome Powell facing incarceration before 2027, driven by the complete absence of criminal investigations, indictments, or regulatory actions against the Federal Reserve Chair. Powell's role centers on monetary policy decisions, including Fed funds rate settings and responses to inflation and labor market data, without any personal legal exposure in official filings or proceedings. Central bank independence and historical precedent further reinforce this positioning, as no comparable U.S. monetary authority leader has encountered such outcomes in modern times. Remote tail risks could involve extreme political developments or novel legal theories, though these remain unsupported by current facts and would require major unforeseen shifts to influence resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
Volume
$5,740Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus prices the "No" outcome at 97% for Jerome Powell facing incarceration before 2027, driven by the complete absence of criminal investigations, indictments, or regulatory actions against the Federal Reserve Chair. Powell's role centers on monetary policy decisions, including Fed funds rate settings and responses to inflation and labor market data, without any personal legal exposure in official filings or proceedings. Central bank independence and historical precedent further reinforce this positioning, as no comparable U.S. monetary authority leader has encountered such outcomes in modern times. Remote tail risks could involve extreme political developments or novel legal theories, though these remain unsupported by current facts and would require major unforeseen shifts to influence resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,740Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices the "No" outcome at 97% for Jerome Powell facing incarceration before 2027, driven by the complete absence of criminal investigations, indictments, or regulatory actions against the Federal Reserve Chair. Powell's role centers on monetary policy decisions, including Fed funds rate settings and responses to inflation and labor market data, without any personal legal exposure in official filings or proceedings. Central bank independence and historical precedent further reinforce this positioning, as no comparable U.S. monetary authority leader has encountered such outcomes in modern times. Remote tail risks could involve extreme political developments or novel legal theories, though these remain unsupported by current facts and would require major unforeseen shifts to influence resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan