Powell's extended tenure as a Federal Reserve governor through January 2028, following the end of his chair term in May 2026, anchors trader sentiment in this market, with Kevin Warsh now leading the Board. His April 2026 statements committing to remain until an investigation into headquarters renovation costs reaches full resolution, coupled with concerns over administration legal actions targeting Fed independence, have reinforced expectations of a gradual exit rather than an immediate departure. Monetary policy continuity, Treasury yield stability, and the absence of new congressional or regulatory catalysts since the transition keep probabilities dispersed across later 2026 and 2027 dates. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC meetings and any shifts in inflation or labor data for signals on Board dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$433,945 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
21%
$433,945 Vol.
December 31
$147,353 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell's extended tenure as a Federal Reserve governor through January 2028, following the end of his chair term in May 2026, anchors trader sentiment in this market, with Kevin Warsh now leading the Board. His April 2026 statements committing to remain until an investigation into headquarters renovation costs reaches full resolution, coupled with concerns over administration legal actions targeting Fed independence, have reinforced expectations of a gradual exit rather than an immediate departure. Monetary policy continuity, Treasury yield stability, and the absence of new congressional or regulatory catalysts since the transition keep probabilities dispersed across later 2026 and 2027 dates. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC meetings and any shifts in inflation or labor data for signals on Board dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$433,945Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell's extended tenure as a Federal Reserve governor through January 2028, following the end of his chair term in May 2026, anchors trader sentiment in this market, with Kevin Warsh now leading the Board. His April 2026 statements committing to remain until an investigation into headquarters renovation costs reaches full resolution, coupled with concerns over administration legal actions targeting Fed independence, have reinforced expectations of a gradual exit rather than an immediate departure. Monetary policy continuity, Treasury yield stability, and the absence of new congressional or regulatory catalysts since the transition keep probabilities dispersed across later 2026 and 2027 dates. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC meetings and any shifts in inflation or labor data for signals on Board dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$433,945Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Powell's extended tenure as a Federal Reserve governor through January 2028, following the end of his chair term in May 2026, anchors trader sentiment in this market, with Kevin Warsh now leading the Board. His April 2026 statements committing to remain until an investigation into headquarters renovation costs reaches full resolution, coupled with concerns over administration legal actions targeting Fed independence, have reinforced expectations of a gradual exit rather than an immediate departure. Monetary policy continuity, Treasury yield stability, and the absence of new congressional or regulatory catalysts since the transition keep probabilities dispersed across later 2026 and 2027 dates. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC meetings and any shifts in inflation or labor data for signals on Board dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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