**Mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms stems from an unusual partisan push that began in summer 2025 when President Trump urged Republican-led states to redraw maps outside the post-census cycle.** Texas acted first in August 2025, followed by voluntary legislative changes in Florida, North Carolina, Missouri, Tennessee, and others, plus litigation-driven updates in Alabama, Louisiana, and Utah. Democrats countered in California via voter-approved Proposition 50 in November 2025. The Supreme Court’s April 2026 *Louisiana v. Callais* decision weakened Voting Rights Act constraints on race-conscious districts, enabling several Republican maps while prompting legal challenges. As of mid-September 2026, ten states have enacted new boundaries affecting roughly 35 million residents, though ongoing suits—particularly Missouri’s referendum and court reversals—could still alter which lines reach the November ballot. Traders weigh final court stays, primary outcomes, and state referendum results against historical norms limiting mid-decade redraws.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$412,744 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
California
97%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
1%
Virginia
4%
Alabama
77%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
4%
Kansas
2%
New Jersey
3%
Indiana
5%
Washington
5%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
4%
New York
3%
Maryland
5%
Wisconsin
3%
$412,744 Vol.
California
$17,332 Vol.
97%
Texas
$19,857 Vol.
98%
North Carolina
$12,028 Vol.
96%
Ohio
$7,407 Vol.
94%
Utah
$95,360 Vol.
91%
Florida
$7,345 Vol.
99%
Louisiana
$16,849 Vol.
93%
Missouri
$14,050 Vol.
1%
Virginia
$10,418 Vol.
4%
Alabama
$18,858 Vol.
77%
South Carolina
$28,897 Vol.
<1%
Georgia
$8,962 Vol.
4%
Kansas
$8,614 Vol.
2%
New Jersey
$6,154 Vol.
3%
Indiana
$34,593 Vol.
5%
Washington
$10,961 Vol.
5%
Nebraska
$7,515 Vol.
5%
Illinois
$11,855 Vol.
2%
Minnesota
$16,199 Vol.
4%
New York
$20,203 Vol.
3%
Maryland
$16,339 Vol.
5%
Wisconsin
$22,948 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms stems from an unusual partisan push that began in summer 2025 when President Trump urged Republican-led states to redraw maps outside the post-census cycle.** Texas acted first in August 2025, followed by voluntary legislative changes in Florida, North Carolina, Missouri, Tennessee, and others, plus litigation-driven updates in Alabama, Louisiana, and Utah. Democrats countered in California via voter-approved Proposition 50 in November 2025. The Supreme Court’s April 2026 *Louisiana v. Callais* decision weakened Voting Rights Act constraints on race-conscious districts, enabling several Republican maps while prompting legal challenges. As of mid-September 2026, ten states have enacted new boundaries affecting roughly 35 million residents, though ongoing suits—particularly Missouri’s referendum and court reversals—could still alter which lines reach the November ballot. Traders weigh final court stays, primary outcomes, and state referendum results against historical norms limiting mid-decade redraws.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$412,744Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms stems from an unusual partisan push that began in summer 2025 when President Trump urged Republican-led states to redraw maps outside the post-census cycle.** Texas acted first in August 2025, followed by voluntary legislative changes in Florida, North Carolina, Missouri, Tennessee, and others, plus litigation-driven updates in Alabama, Louisiana, and Utah. Democrats countered in California via voter-approved Proposition 50 in November 2025. The Supreme Court’s April 2026 *Louisiana v. Callais* decision weakened Voting Rights Act constraints on race-conscious districts, enabling several Republican maps while prompting legal challenges. As of mid-September 2026, ten states have enacted new boundaries affecting roughly 35 million residents, though ongoing suits—particularly Missouri’s referendum and court reversals—could still alter which lines reach the November ballot. Traders weigh final court stays, primary outcomes, and state referendum results against historical norms limiting mid-decade redraws.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$412,744Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms stems from an unusual partisan push that began in summer 2025 when President Trump urged Republican-led states to redraw maps outside the post-census cycle.** Texas acted first in August 2025, followed by voluntary legislative changes in Florida, North Carolina, Missouri, Tennessee, and others, plus litigation-driven updates in Alabama, Louisiana, and Utah. Democrats countered in California via voter-approved Proposition 50 in November 2025. The Supreme Court’s April 2026 *Louisiana v. Callais* decision weakened Voting Rights Act constraints on race-conscious districts, enabling several Republican maps while prompting legal challenges. As of mid-September 2026, ten states have enacted new boundaries affecting roughly 35 million residents, though ongoing suits—particularly Missouri’s referendum and court reversals—could still alter which lines reach the November ballot. Traders weigh final court stays, primary outcomes, and state referendum results against historical norms limiting mid-decade redraws.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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