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Politik·Pemilihan Utama

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Pemilihan Utama

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

Cait Conley 100.0%

Beth Davidson <1%

Effie Phillips-Staley <1%

Mike Sacks <1%

Polymarket

$242,967 Vol.

Cait Conley 100.0%

Beth Davidson <1%

Effie Phillips-Staley <1%

Mike Sacks <1%

Polymarket

$242,967 Vol.

Beth Davidson

$90,699 Vol.

No

Effie Phillips-Staley

$8,770 Vol.

No

Mike Sacks

$2,172 Vol.

No

John Cappello

$1,906 Vol.

No

Cait Conley

$130,733 Vol.

Yes

Peter Chatzky

$4,308 Vol.

No

Jessica Reinmann

$1,944 Vol.

No

John Sullivan

$2,435 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Cait Conley leads the NY-17 Democratic primary with trader consensus at 77.5 percent, driven by her profile as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official with experience on the National Security Council and at CISA, which has drawn endorsements from county leaders and substantial outside support ahead of the June 23 vote. Beth Davidson holds 21.5 percent as the main local alternative, backed by her record as a Rockland County legislator and recent endorsements from prior candidates in the race. The contest has featured attacks on Conley's recent district residency and funding sources, alongside reported Republican-linked spending aimed at blocking her nomination, reflecting assessments of her strength against incumbent Mike Lawler. Minor candidates trail with under 2 percent combined.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$242,967
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Cait Conley leads the NY-17 Democratic primary with trader consensus at 77.5 percent, driven by her profile as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official with experience on the National Security Council and at CISA, which has drawn endorsements from county leaders and substantial outside support ahead of the June 23 vote. Beth Davidson holds 21.5 percent as the main local alternative, backed by her record as a Rockland County legislator and recent endorsements from prior candidates in the race. The contest has featured attacks on Conley's recent district residency and funding sources, alongside reported Republican-linked spending aimed at blocking her nomination, reflecting assessments of her strength against incumbent Mike Lawler. Minor candidates trail with under 2 percent combined.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$242,967
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Cait Conley" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Beth Davidson" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $243K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Cait Conley" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Beth Davidson" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.