Democratic incumbent Pat Ryan faces limited Republican opposition from Jackie Auringer in New York’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean on partisan voting metrics, and Ryan’s prior reelection margin exceeded 14 points, contributing to ratings classifying the contest as solid Democratic. With primaries scheduled for June 23 and both party nominations largely settled without contests, trader consensus reflected in the market prices assigns the Democratic Party a clear lead while leaving room for shifts from broader midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-18 House Election Winner
NY-18 House Election Winner
$33,316 Vol.
$33,316 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
63%
Republican Party
13%
$33,316 Vol.
$33,316 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,013 Vol.
63%
Republican Party
$1,303 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Pat Ryan faces limited Republican opposition from Jackie Auringer in New York’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean on partisan voting metrics, and Ryan’s prior reelection margin exceeded 14 points, contributing to ratings classifying the contest as solid Democratic. With primaries scheduled for June 23 and both party nominations largely settled without contests, trader consensus reflected in the market prices assigns the Democratic Party a clear lead while leaving room for shifts from broader midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$33,316Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Pat Ryan faces limited Republican opposition from Jackie Auringer in New York’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean on partisan voting metrics, and Ryan’s prior reelection margin exceeded 14 points, contributing to ratings classifying the contest as solid Democratic. With primaries scheduled for June 23 and both party nominations largely settled without contests, trader consensus reflected in the market prices assigns the Democratic Party a clear lead while leaving room for shifts from broader midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,316Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Pat Ryan faces limited Republican opposition from Jackie Auringer in New York’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean on partisan voting metrics, and Ryan’s prior reelection margin exceeded 14 points, contributing to ratings classifying the contest as solid Democratic. With primaries scheduled for June 23 and both party nominations largely settled without contests, trader consensus reflected in the market prices assigns the Democratic Party a clear lead while leaving room for shifts from broader midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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