California’s 18th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 cycle, anchored by longtime incumbent Zoe Lofgren’s consistent electoral strength and the area’s partisan makeup. Lofgren, first elected in the 1990s and re-elected with over 64 percent in 2024, faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary from fellow Democrats, a Republican, and independents; the top two finishers advance to the November general. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and fundraising advantages that reinforce trader expectations of a Democratic hold. A major shift would require an unforeseen primary upset or significant late-cycle development capable of altering the district’s established lean.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-18 House Election Winner
CA-18 House Election Winner
$35,238 Vol.
$35,238 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$35,238 Vol.
$35,238 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,690 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$18,548 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 18th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 cycle, anchored by longtime incumbent Zoe Lofgren’s consistent electoral strength and the area’s partisan makeup. Lofgren, first elected in the 1990s and re-elected with over 64 percent in 2024, faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary from fellow Democrats, a Republican, and independents; the top two finishers advance to the November general. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and fundraising advantages that reinforce trader expectations of a Democratic hold. A major shift would require an unforeseen primary upset or significant late-cycle development capable of altering the district’s established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$35,238Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 18th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 cycle, anchored by longtime incumbent Zoe Lofgren’s consistent electoral strength and the area’s partisan makeup. Lofgren, first elected in the 1990s and re-elected with over 64 percent in 2024, faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary from fellow Democrats, a Republican, and independents; the top two finishers advance to the November general. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and fundraising advantages that reinforce trader expectations of a Democratic hold. A major shift would require an unforeseen primary upset or significant late-cycle development capable of altering the district’s established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,238Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 18th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 cycle, anchored by longtime incumbent Zoe Lofgren’s consistent electoral strength and the area’s partisan makeup. Lofgren, first elected in the 1990s and re-elected with over 64 percent in 2024, faces limited opposition in the June 2 top-two primary from fellow Democrats, a Republican, and independents; the top two finishers advance to the November general. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and fundraising advantages that reinforce trader expectations of a Democratic hold. A major shift would require an unforeseen primary upset or significant late-cycle development capable of altering the district’s established lean.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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