Trader consensus in the MI-07 House race heavily favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Rep. Tom Barrett (R), who won narrowly with 50.3% in 2024, reflecting broader 2026 midterm dynamics historically punishing the president's party amid unfavorable national generic ballot trends. The Cook Political Report rates the district Toss-up, with DCCC targeting it as a prime flip opportunity. Recent Democratic primary polls from March 20 (Strategic National) show a fragmented field—William Lawrence at 6%, Bridget Brink at 5%, Matt Maasdam at 4%, others dominant—highlighting uncertainty ahead of the August 4 primary, while an NRCC analysis on April 7 noted Barrett's fundraising superiority over combined challengers. No general election surveys exist, leaving odds driven by wave expectations and skin-in-the-game assessments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
11%
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,689 Vol.
76%
Republican Party
$1,204 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the MI-07 House race heavily favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Rep. Tom Barrett (R), who won narrowly with 50.3% in 2024, reflecting broader 2026 midterm dynamics historically punishing the president's party amid unfavorable national generic ballot trends. The Cook Political Report rates the district Toss-up, with DCCC targeting it as a prime flip opportunity. Recent Democratic primary polls from March 20 (Strategic National) show a fragmented field—William Lawrence at 6%, Bridget Brink at 5%, Matt Maasdam at 4%, others dominant—highlighting uncertainty ahead of the August 4 primary, while an NRCC analysis on April 7 noted Barrett's fundraising superiority over combined challengers. No general election surveys exist, leaving odds driven by wave expectations and skin-in-the-game assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$3,894Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the MI-07 House race heavily favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Rep. Tom Barrett (R), who won narrowly with 50.3% in 2024, reflecting broader 2026 midterm dynamics historically punishing the president's party amid unfavorable national generic ballot trends. The Cook Political Report rates the district Toss-up, with DCCC targeting it as a prime flip opportunity. Recent Democratic primary polls from March 20 (Strategic National) show a fragmented field—William Lawrence at 6%, Bridget Brink at 5%, Matt Maasdam at 4%, others dominant—highlighting uncertainty ahead of the August 4 primary, while an NRCC analysis on April 7 noted Barrett's fundraising superiority over combined challengers. No general election surveys exist, leaving odds driven by wave expectations and skin-in-the-game assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,894Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the MI-07 House race heavily favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Rep. Tom Barrett (R), who won narrowly with 50.3% in 2024, reflecting broader 2026 midterm dynamics historically punishing the president's party amid unfavorable national generic ballot trends. The Cook Political Report rates the district Toss-up, with DCCC targeting it as a prime flip opportunity. Recent Democratic primary polls from March 20 (Strategic National) show a fragmented field—William Lawrence at 6%, Bridget Brink at 5%, Matt Maasdam at 4%, others dominant—highlighting uncertainty ahead of the August 4 primary, while an NRCC analysis on April 7 noted Barrett's fundraising superiority over combined challengers. No general election surveys exist, leaving odds driven by wave expectations and skin-in-the-game assessments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan