Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district, a Philadelphia-based seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. Boyle secured the nomination after the May 2026 primary and previously won reelection by wide margins, including 71.5 percent in 2024. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates routinely dominate. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the seat’s history and the absence of recent developments—such as scandals, major polling shifts, or national waves—that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Late-breaking events like health developments or unusually high Republican turnout could still narrow the gap in theory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPA-02 House Election Winner
PA-02 House Election Winner
$29,391 Vol.
$29,391 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$29,391 Vol.
$29,391 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,352 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$23,039 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district, a Philadelphia-based seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. Boyle secured the nomination after the May 2026 primary and previously won reelection by wide margins, including 71.5 percent in 2024. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates routinely dominate. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the seat’s history and the absence of recent developments—such as scandals, major polling shifts, or national waves—that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Late-breaking events like health developments or unusually high Republican turnout could still narrow the gap in theory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$29,391Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district, a Philadelphia-based seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. Boyle secured the nomination after the May 2026 primary and previously won reelection by wide margins, including 71.5 percent in 2024. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates routinely dominate. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the seat’s history and the absence of recent developments—such as scandals, major polling shifts, or national waves—that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Late-breaking events like health developments or unusually high Republican turnout could still narrow the gap in theory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,391Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district, a Philadelphia-based seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index. Boyle secured the nomination after the May 2026 primary and previously won reelection by wide margins, including 71.5 percent in 2024. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates routinely dominate. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the seat’s history and the absence of recent developments—such as scandals, major polling shifts, or national waves—that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Late-breaking events like health developments or unusually high Republican turnout could still narrow the gap in theory.
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