The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including large margins for the retiring incumbent, anchors trader consensus around the party's nominee. Following Jan Schakowsky's departure, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a frontrunner backed by established party networks and fundraising, while the Republican nominee emerged from a low-visibility contest in a district rated solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Limited polling and historical turnout patterns in the Chicago-area suburbs reinforce the implied probability, with few recent developments altering the baseline. A national Republican wave, significant nominee-specific issues before November, or unusually high crossover voting could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major intervening events.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$25,728 Vol.
$25,728 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$25,728 Vol.
$25,728 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,936 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$8,792 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including large margins for the retiring incumbent, anchors trader consensus around the party's nominee. Following Jan Schakowsky's departure, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a frontrunner backed by established party networks and fundraising, while the Republican nominee emerged from a low-visibility contest in a district rated solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Limited polling and historical turnout patterns in the Chicago-area suburbs reinforce the implied probability, with few recent developments altering the baseline. A national Republican wave, significant nominee-specific issues before November, or unusually high crossover voting could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major intervening events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$25,728Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including large margins for the retiring incumbent, anchors trader consensus around the party's nominee. Following Jan Schakowsky's departure, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a frontrunner backed by established party networks and fundraising, while the Republican nominee emerged from a low-visibility contest in a district rated solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Limited polling and historical turnout patterns in the Chicago-area suburbs reinforce the implied probability, with few recent developments altering the baseline. A national Republican wave, significant nominee-specific issues before November, or unusually high crossover voting could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major intervening events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,728Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including large margins for the retiring incumbent, anchors trader consensus around the party's nominee. Following Jan Schakowsky's departure, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a frontrunner backed by established party networks and fundraising, while the Republican nominee emerged from a low-visibility contest in a district rated solidly Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Limited polling and historical turnout patterns in the Chicago-area suburbs reinforce the implied probability, with few recent developments altering the baseline. A national Republican wave, significant nominee-specific issues before November, or unusually high crossover voting could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major intervening events.
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