NY-21 is an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election after her brief 2026 gubernatorial bid. The June 23 Republican primary produced nominee Anthony Constantino, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his primary. The district’s rural, conservative voter base and consistent Republican performance in prior cycles underpin the 78% market price for the Republican nominee. A late SurveyUSA poll showed Gendebien narrowly ahead among likely voters, introducing some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, yet traders continue to price the race as likely Republican given historical margins, party registration, and structural advantages in this upstate New York district.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$53,699 Vol.
$53,699 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
20%
$53,699 Vol.
$53,699 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$25,079 Vol.
79%
Democratic Party
$28,621 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 is an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election after her brief 2026 gubernatorial bid. The June 23 Republican primary produced nominee Anthony Constantino, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his primary. The district’s rural, conservative voter base and consistent Republican performance in prior cycles underpin the 78% market price for the Republican nominee. A late SurveyUSA poll showed Gendebien narrowly ahead among likely voters, introducing some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, yet traders continue to price the race as likely Republican given historical margins, party registration, and structural advantages in this upstate New York district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$53,699Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 is an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election after her brief 2026 gubernatorial bid. The June 23 Republican primary produced nominee Anthony Constantino, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his primary. The district’s rural, conservative voter base and consistent Republican performance in prior cycles underpin the 78% market price for the Republican nominee. A late SurveyUSA poll showed Gendebien narrowly ahead among likely voters, introducing some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, yet traders continue to price the race as likely Republican given historical margins, party registration, and structural advantages in this upstate New York district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,699Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21 is an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election after her brief 2026 gubernatorial bid. The June 23 Republican primary produced nominee Anthony Constantino, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his primary. The district’s rural, conservative voter base and consistent Republican performance in prior cycles underpin the 78% market price for the Republican nominee. A late SurveyUSA poll showed Gendebien narrowly ahead among likely voters, introducing some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, yet traders continue to price the race as likely Republican given historical margins, party registration, and structural advantages in this upstate New York district.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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