Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 84% implied probability in the TX-21 House race following Mark Teixeira's decisive March 3 primary victory with 63% of the vote in the crowded GOP field, solidifying his nomination in this open seat vacated by Chip Roy for attorney general. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore longstanding GOP dominance, reinforced by Teixeira's fundraising edge—$3.7 million raised versus Democratic nominee Kristin Hook's $154,000 as of late March—and prior results where Roy secured 62% in 2024 against Hook. Absent general election polls, the race awaits early voting starting October 19 amid national midterm dynamics.
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TX-21 House Election Winner
$28,165 Vol.
$28,165 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
15%
$28,165 Vol.
$28,165 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,497 Vol.
84%
Democratic Party
$12,668 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 84% implied probability in the TX-21 House race following Mark Teixeira's decisive March 3 primary victory with 63% of the vote in the crowded GOP field, solidifying his nomination in this open seat vacated by Chip Roy for attorney general. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore longstanding GOP dominance, reinforced by Teixeira's fundraising edge—$3.7 million raised versus Democratic nominee Kristin Hook's $154,000 as of late March—and prior results where Roy secured 62% in 2024 against Hook. Absent general election polls, the race awaits early voting starting October 19 amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$28,165Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 84% implied probability in the TX-21 House race following Mark Teixeira's decisive March 3 primary victory with 63% of the vote in the crowded GOP field, solidifying his nomination in this open seat vacated by Chip Roy for attorney general. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore longstanding GOP dominance, reinforced by Teixeira's fundraising edge—$3.7 million raised versus Democratic nominee Kristin Hook's $154,000 as of late March—and prior results where Roy secured 62% in 2024 against Hook. Absent general election polls, the race awaits early voting starting October 19 amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,165Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 84% implied probability in the TX-21 House race following Mark Teixeira's decisive March 3 primary victory with 63% of the vote in the crowded GOP field, solidifying his nomination in this open seat vacated by Chip Roy for attorney general. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore longstanding GOP dominance, reinforced by Teixeira's fundraising edge—$3.7 million raised versus Democratic nominee Kristin Hook's $154,000 as of late March—and prior results where Roy secured 62% in 2024 against Hook. Absent general election polls, the race awaits early voting starting October 19 amid national midterm dynamics.
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