Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election with established name recognition across Cincinnati and surrounding areas. The district's recent redrawing incorporated additional rural counties in southwest Ohio, shifting its partisan baseline closer to even and creating a narrower path for the Republican nominee Eric Conroy, who prevailed in his primary with backing from President Trump. Trader consensus at 67% for Democrats versus 33% for Republicans aligns with Landsman's incumbency advantage and historical performance in the core urban portions, though the adjusted map and national midterm dynamics keep the seat competitive. No major late-breaking developments have altered positioning since the primaries concluded.