Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer seeks a seventh term in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. Emmer defeated limited primary challengers in August 2026 and holds substantial fundraising and name-recognition edges over Democratic nominee Doug Chapin. The district’s suburban and exurban composition has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 13.5-point Trump victory in 2024. These structural advantages, combined with the absence of major polling shifts or national headwinds, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout wave altering baseline partisan lean.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMN-06 House Election Winner
MN-06 House Election Winner
$41,355 Vol.
$41,355 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
$41,355 Vol.
$41,355 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$23,338 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$18,017 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer seeks a seventh term in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. Emmer defeated limited primary challengers in August 2026 and holds substantial fundraising and name-recognition edges over Democratic nominee Doug Chapin. The district’s suburban and exurban composition has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 13.5-point Trump victory in 2024. These structural advantages, combined with the absence of major polling shifts or national headwinds, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout wave altering baseline partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$41,355Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer seeks a seventh term in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. Emmer defeated limited primary challengers in August 2026 and holds substantial fundraising and name-recognition edges over Democratic nominee Doug Chapin. The district’s suburban and exurban composition has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 13.5-point Trump victory in 2024. These structural advantages, combined with the absence of major polling shifts or national headwinds, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout wave altering baseline partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,355Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer seeks a seventh term in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. Emmer defeated limited primary challengers in August 2026 and holds substantial fundraising and name-recognition edges over Democratic nominee Doug Chapin. The district’s suburban and exurban composition has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 13.5-point Trump victory in 2024. These structural advantages, combined with the absence of major polling shifts or national headwinds, underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout wave altering baseline partisan lean.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan