Vermont’s at-large House seat has been held by Democrats since 1990, with incumbent Becca Balint securing comfortable victories in prior cycles, including margins exceeding 30 points in 2024. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Balint’s substantial fundraising edge and the limited profile of Republican primary contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though Vermont’s partisan baseline and incumbency patterns make such reversals uncommon before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$13,103 Vol.
$13,103 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$13,103 Vol.
$13,103 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,744 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,359 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large House seat has been held by Democrats since 1990, with incumbent Becca Balint securing comfortable victories in prior cycles, including margins exceeding 30 points in 2024. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Balint’s substantial fundraising edge and the limited profile of Republican primary contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though Vermont’s partisan baseline and incumbency patterns make such reversals uncommon before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$13,103Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large House seat has been held by Democrats since 1990, with incumbent Becca Balint securing comfortable victories in prior cycles, including margins exceeding 30 points in 2024. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Balint’s substantial fundraising edge and the limited profile of Republican primary contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though Vermont’s partisan baseline and incumbency patterns make such reversals uncommon before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,103Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont’s at-large House seat has been held by Democrats since 1990, with incumbent Becca Balint securing comfortable victories in prior cycles, including margins exceeding 30 points in 2024. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Balint’s substantial fundraising edge and the limited profile of Republican primary contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though Vermont’s partisan baseline and incumbency patterns make such reversals uncommon before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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