Vermont's at-large House seat remains a strong hold for Democrats ahead of the November 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the state's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in federal contests and the incumbent advantage held by Representative Becca Balint. The upcoming August 11 primaries feature limited Republican opposition from Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy, underscoring a thin field that has not generated meaningful momentum against the Democratic baseline. Historical margins in the district, combined with Vermont's electoral patterns favoring one party in House races, reinforce expectations of a sizable victory. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave altering turnout or from late developments in the Republican primary that produce a more competitive nominee, though structural factors in the state continue to constrain such outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$21,624 Vol.
$21,624 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$21,624 Vol.
$21,624 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,502 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$14,122 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large House seat remains a strong hold for Democrats ahead of the November 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the state's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in federal contests and the incumbent advantage held by Representative Becca Balint. The upcoming August 11 primaries feature limited Republican opposition from Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy, underscoring a thin field that has not generated meaningful momentum against the Democratic baseline. Historical margins in the district, combined with Vermont's electoral patterns favoring one party in House races, reinforce expectations of a sizable victory. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave altering turnout or from late developments in the Republican primary that produce a more competitive nominee, though structural factors in the state continue to constrain such outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$21,624Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large House seat remains a strong hold for Democrats ahead of the November 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the state's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in federal contests and the incumbent advantage held by Representative Becca Balint. The upcoming August 11 primaries feature limited Republican opposition from Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy, underscoring a thin field that has not generated meaningful momentum against the Democratic baseline. Historical margins in the district, combined with Vermont's electoral patterns favoring one party in House races, reinforce expectations of a sizable victory. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave altering turnout or from late developments in the Republican primary that produce a more competitive nominee, though structural factors in the state continue to constrain such outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,624Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont's at-large House seat remains a strong hold for Democrats ahead of the November 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the state's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in federal contests and the incumbent advantage held by Representative Becca Balint. The upcoming August 11 primaries feature limited Republican opposition from Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy, underscoring a thin field that has not generated meaningful momentum against the Democratic baseline. Historical margins in the district, combined with Vermont's electoral patterns favoring one party in House races, reinforce expectations of a sizable victory. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave altering turnout or from late developments in the Republican primary that produce a more competitive nominee, though structural factors in the state continue to constrain such outcomes.
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