The Pennsylvania 3rd congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the country, with a Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+40 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Dwight Evans’s retirement created an open-seat contest, but Chris Rabb’s decisive victory in the May 2026 Democratic primary consolidated support behind the party’s nominee ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban Philadelphia base and limited Republican organizational presence. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors; the slim Republican odds reflect the low probability of an upset driven by turnout anomalies, late scandals, or an unanticipated national shift that would need to overcome the district’s entrenched partisan baseline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$30,993 Vol.
$30,993 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$30,993 Vol.
$30,993 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,637 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$11,356 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Pennsylvania 3rd congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the country, with a Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+40 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Dwight Evans’s retirement created an open-seat contest, but Chris Rabb’s decisive victory in the May 2026 Democratic primary consolidated support behind the party’s nominee ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban Philadelphia base and limited Republican organizational presence. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors; the slim Republican odds reflect the low probability of an upset driven by turnout anomalies, late scandals, or an unanticipated national shift that would need to overcome the district’s entrenched partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$30,993Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Pennsylvania 3rd congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the country, with a Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+40 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Dwight Evans’s retirement created an open-seat contest, but Chris Rabb’s decisive victory in the May 2026 Democratic primary consolidated support behind the party’s nominee ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban Philadelphia base and limited Republican organizational presence. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors; the slim Republican odds reflect the low probability of an upset driven by turnout anomalies, late scandals, or an unanticipated national shift that would need to overcome the district’s entrenched partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,993Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Pennsylvania 3rd congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the country, with a Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+40 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Dwight Evans’s retirement created an open-seat contest, but Chris Rabb’s decisive victory in the May 2026 Democratic primary consolidated support behind the party’s nominee ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban Philadelphia base and limited Republican organizational presence. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors; the slim Republican odds reflect the low probability of an upset driven by turnout anomalies, late scandals, or an unanticipated national shift that would need to overcome the district’s entrenched partisan baseline.
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