The heavily Democratic character of New York’s 7th congressional district, with a Cook PVI of D+25 and urban neighborhoods spanning Brooklyn and Queens, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in state Assemblymember Claire Valdez, who consolidated support from progressive backers including Zohran Mamdani and Bernie Sanders. This outcome, combined with the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling in the district, has kept GOP implied probability near 2.5%. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Republican environment, a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though historical results in comparable New York City seats indicate such shifts remain unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$29,189 Vol.
$29,189 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$29,189 Vol.
$29,189 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,873 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$14,316 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic character of New York’s 7th congressional district, with a Cook PVI of D+25 and urban neighborhoods spanning Brooklyn and Queens, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in state Assemblymember Claire Valdez, who consolidated support from progressive backers including Zohran Mamdani and Bernie Sanders. This outcome, combined with the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling in the district, has kept GOP implied probability near 2.5%. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Republican environment, a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though historical results in comparable New York City seats indicate such shifts remain unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$29,189Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic character of New York’s 7th congressional district, with a Cook PVI of D+25 and urban neighborhoods spanning Brooklyn and Queens, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in state Assemblymember Claire Valdez, who consolidated support from progressive backers including Zohran Mamdani and Bernie Sanders. This outcome, combined with the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling in the district, has kept GOP implied probability near 2.5%. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Republican environment, a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though historical results in comparable New York City seats indicate such shifts remain unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,189Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic character of New York’s 7th congressional district, with a Cook PVI of D+25 and urban neighborhoods spanning Brooklyn and Queens, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear winner in state Assemblymember Claire Valdez, who consolidated support from progressive backers including Zohran Mamdani and Bernie Sanders. This outcome, combined with the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling in the district, has kept GOP implied probability near 2.5%. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Republican environment, a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though historical results in comparable New York City seats indicate such shifts remain unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan