Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the MS-04 nomination after winning his March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The Gulf Coast district, encompassing areas such as Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell maintains substantial campaign resources and institutional support heading into the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative and retired Army veteran who prevailed in his own primary. Forecasters cite the district’s partisan composition and Ezell’s incumbency as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMS-04 House Election Winner
MS-04 House Election Winner
$40,255 Vol.
$40,255 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Ezell (R)
97%
Jeffrey Hulum III (D)
3%
$40,255 Vol.
$40,255 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Ezell (R)
$25,175 Vol.
97%
Jeffrey Hulum III (D)
$15,080 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the MS-04 nomination after winning his March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The Gulf Coast district, encompassing areas such as Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell maintains substantial campaign resources and institutional support heading into the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative and retired Army veteran who prevailed in his own primary. Forecasters cite the district’s partisan composition and Ezell’s incumbency as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$40,255Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the MS-04 nomination after winning his March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The Gulf Coast district, encompassing areas such as Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell maintains substantial campaign resources and institutional support heading into the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative and retired Army veteran who prevailed in his own primary. Forecasters cite the district’s partisan composition and Ezell’s incumbency as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,255Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the MS-04 nomination after winning his March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The Gulf Coast district, encompassing areas such as Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell maintains substantial campaign resources and institutional support heading into the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative and retired Army veteran who prevailed in his own primary. Forecasters cite the district’s partisan composition and Ezell’s incumbency as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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