The Massachusetts 4th congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.2 percent. The seat encompasses strongly Democratic areas in southeastern Massachusetts, including Newton, and has remained in Democratic hands since the mid-1990s, with the incumbent Jake Auchincloss re-elected without Republican opposition in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a modest primary field headed by Auchincloss. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers including low historical turnout margins and fundraising gaps. Late shifts could occur only through an unexpected Democratic primary outcome on September 1, a major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or an extreme national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMA-04 House Election Winner
MA-04 House Election Winner
$45,764 Vol.
$45,764 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$45,764 Vol.
$45,764 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$22,330 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$23,433 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 4th congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.2 percent. The seat encompasses strongly Democratic areas in southeastern Massachusetts, including Newton, and has remained in Democratic hands since the mid-1990s, with the incumbent Jake Auchincloss re-elected without Republican opposition in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a modest primary field headed by Auchincloss. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers including low historical turnout margins and fundraising gaps. Late shifts could occur only through an unexpected Democratic primary outcome on September 1, a major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or an extreme national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,764Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 4th congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.2 percent. The seat encompasses strongly Democratic areas in southeastern Massachusetts, including Newton, and has remained in Democratic hands since the mid-1990s, with the incumbent Jake Auchincloss re-elected without Republican opposition in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a modest primary field headed by Auchincloss. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers including low historical turnout margins and fundraising gaps. Late shifts could occur only through an unexpected Democratic primary outcome on September 1, a major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or an extreme national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,764Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 4th congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.2 percent. The seat encompasses strongly Democratic areas in southeastern Massachusetts, including Newton, and has remained in Democratic hands since the mid-1990s, with the incumbent Jake Auchincloss re-elected without Republican opposition in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a modest primary field headed by Auchincloss. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers including low historical turnout margins and fundraising gaps. Late shifts could occur only through an unexpected Democratic primary outcome on September 1, a major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or an extreme national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
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