Incumbent Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against challenger Jason Poulos, reflecting strong party support and substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $3.6 million. Massachusetts' 4th district carries a solid Democratic partisan lean, with forecasters rating the general election race as safe or solid for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 ballot. Republican nominee Tom Stalcup advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus at 97.3 percent for Auchincloss aligns with these structural factors, including historical Democratic performance and limited opposition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unforeseen national political shifts or major candidate-specific developments before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMA-04 House Election Winner
MA-04 House Election Winner
$47,254 Vol.
$47,254 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jake Auchincloss (D)
97%
Tom Stalcup (R)
1%
$47,254 Vol.
$47,254 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jake Auchincloss (D)
$23,504 Vol.
97%
Tom Stalcup (R)
$23,750 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against challenger Jason Poulos, reflecting strong party support and substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $3.6 million. Massachusetts' 4th district carries a solid Democratic partisan lean, with forecasters rating the general election race as safe or solid for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 ballot. Republican nominee Tom Stalcup advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus at 97.3 percent for Auchincloss aligns with these structural factors, including historical Democratic performance and limited opposition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unforeseen national political shifts or major candidate-specific developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$47,254Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against challenger Jason Poulos, reflecting strong party support and substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $3.6 million. Massachusetts' 4th district carries a solid Democratic partisan lean, with forecasters rating the general election race as safe or solid for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 ballot. Republican nominee Tom Stalcup advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus at 97.3 percent for Auchincloss aligns with these structural factors, including historical Democratic performance and limited opposition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unforeseen national political shifts or major candidate-specific developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,254Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against challenger Jason Poulos, reflecting strong party support and substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $3.6 million. Massachusetts' 4th district carries a solid Democratic partisan lean, with forecasters rating the general election race as safe or solid for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 ballot. Republican nominee Tom Stalcup advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus at 97.3 percent for Auchincloss aligns with these structural factors, including historical Democratic performance and limited opposition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unforeseen national political shifts or major candidate-specific developments before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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