Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent since 1998, holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in Queens and consistent voter registration advantages. Primary results and candidate filings show limited Republican opposition from George Marsh, with minimal national party investment or polling shifts that would indicate competitiveness. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, including fundraising gaps and historical turnout patterns favoring the incumbent party in safe urban seats. A major scandal involving Meeks, a significant national Republican wave altering local dynamics, or unforeseen health or legal developments could narrow the gap before November 3, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-05 House Election Winner
NY-05 House Election Winner
$50,733 Vol.
$50,733 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$50,733 Vol.
$50,733 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,290 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$31,443 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent since 1998, holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in Queens and consistent voter registration advantages. Primary results and candidate filings show limited Republican opposition from George Marsh, with minimal national party investment or polling shifts that would indicate competitiveness. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, including fundraising gaps and historical turnout patterns favoring the incumbent party in safe urban seats. A major scandal involving Meeks, a significant national Republican wave altering local dynamics, or unforeseen health or legal developments could narrow the gap before November 3, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$50,733Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent since 1998, holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in Queens and consistent voter registration advantages. Primary results and candidate filings show limited Republican opposition from George Marsh, with minimal national party investment or polling shifts that would indicate competitiveness. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, including fundraising gaps and historical turnout patterns favoring the incumbent party in safe urban seats. A major scandal involving Meeks, a significant national Republican wave altering local dynamics, or unforeseen health or legal developments could narrow the gap before November 3, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$50,733Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent since 1998, holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in Queens and consistent voter registration advantages. Primary results and candidate filings show limited Republican opposition from George Marsh, with minimal national party investment or polling shifts that would indicate competitiveness. Trader consensus at 94% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, including fundraising gaps and historical turnout patterns favoring the incumbent party in safe urban seats. A major scandal involving Meeks, a significant national Republican wave altering local dynamics, or unforeseen health or legal developments could narrow the gap before November 3, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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