Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflected in trader consensus assigning his party an 89.5% implied probability. Díaz-Balart, seeking a thirteenth term, advanced unopposed through the August Republican primary and benefits from substantial fundraising, long tenure since 2003, and the district's post-redistricting R+7 lean, which includes strong support among Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American voters in western Miami-Dade. Democrat Nicole Locklin, a lawyer who advanced without primary opposition, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFL-26 House Election Winner
FL-26 House Election Winner
$64,799 Vol.
$64,799 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
10%
$64,799 Vol.
$64,799 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$30,028 Vol.
90%
Democratic Party
$34,770 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflected in trader consensus assigning his party an 89.5% implied probability. Díaz-Balart, seeking a thirteenth term, advanced unopposed through the August Republican primary and benefits from substantial fundraising, long tenure since 2003, and the district's post-redistricting R+7 lean, which includes strong support among Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American voters in western Miami-Dade. Democrat Nicole Locklin, a lawyer who advanced without primary opposition, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$64,799Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflected in trader consensus assigning his party an 89.5% implied probability. Díaz-Balart, seeking a thirteenth term, advanced unopposed through the August Republican primary and benefits from substantial fundraising, long tenure since 2003, and the district's post-redistricting R+7 lean, which includes strong support among Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American voters in western Miami-Dade. Democrat Nicole Locklin, a lawyer who advanced without primary opposition, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$64,799Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflected in trader consensus assigning his party an 89.5% implied probability. Díaz-Balart, seeking a thirteenth term, advanced unopposed through the August Republican primary and benefits from substantial fundraising, long tenure since 2003, and the district's post-redistricting R+7 lean, which includes strong support among Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American voters in western Miami-Dade. Democrat Nicole Locklin, a lawyer who advanced without primary opposition, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan