California's 30th congressional district carries a D+21 partisan voter index, placing it among the state's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 52.7 percent of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Scott Meyers. Nonpartisan analysts from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's underlying electoral math. A significant late-cycle scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-30 House Election Winner
CA-30 House Election Winner
$24,267 Vol.
$24,267 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$24,267 Vol.
$24,267 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,067 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$11,200 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district carries a D+21 partisan voter index, placing it among the state's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 52.7 percent of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Scott Meyers. Nonpartisan analysts from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's underlying electoral math. A significant late-cycle scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$24,267Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district carries a D+21 partisan voter index, placing it among the state's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 52.7 percent of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Scott Meyers. Nonpartisan analysts from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's underlying electoral math. A significant late-cycle scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,267Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 30th congressional district carries a D+21 partisan voter index, placing it among the state's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 52.7 percent of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Scott Meyers. Nonpartisan analysts from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's underlying electoral math. A significant late-cycle scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
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