Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, demonstrating party consolidation against limited challengers. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 95.5 percent due to these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the race toward competitiveness. Late-cycle national headwinds, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin but remain low-probability events given current indicators.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFL-01 House Election Winner
FL-01 House Election Winner
$117,779 Vol.
$117,779 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
3%
$117,779 Vol.
$117,779 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$89,099 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$28,680 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, demonstrating party consolidation against limited challengers. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 95.5 percent due to these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the race toward competitiveness. Late-cycle national headwinds, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin but remain low-probability events given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$117,779Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, demonstrating party consolidation against limited challengers. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 95.5 percent due to these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the race toward competitiveness. Late-cycle national headwinds, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin but remain low-probability events given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$117,779Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, demonstrating party consolidation against limited challengers. Democratic nominee Gay Valimont faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 95.5 percent due to these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would shift the race toward competitiveness. Late-cycle national headwinds, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin but remain low-probability events given current indicators.
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