Florida's 12th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 following the state's 2026 mid-decade redistricting, which preserved a strong GOP tilt in the Tampa Bay area seat. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis advanced unopposed through the August primary and enters the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman with consistent support from forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Traders reflect this structural advantage and Bilirakis's long record of comfortable reelection margins in the district. A Republican victory remains the clear consensus outcome, though shifts in national midterm dynamics, unexpected candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFL-12 House Election Winner
FL-12 House Election Winner
$56,298 Vol.
$56,298 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$56,298 Vol.
$56,298 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,345 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$33,954 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 following the state's 2026 mid-decade redistricting, which preserved a strong GOP tilt in the Tampa Bay area seat. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis advanced unopposed through the August primary and enters the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman with consistent support from forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Traders reflect this structural advantage and Bilirakis's long record of comfortable reelection margins in the district. A Republican victory remains the clear consensus outcome, though shifts in national midterm dynamics, unexpected candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$56,298Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 following the state's 2026 mid-decade redistricting, which preserved a strong GOP tilt in the Tampa Bay area seat. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis advanced unopposed through the August primary and enters the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman with consistent support from forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Traders reflect this structural advantage and Bilirakis's long record of comfortable reelection margins in the district. A Republican victory remains the clear consensus outcome, though shifts in national midterm dynamics, unexpected candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$56,298Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 following the state's 2026 mid-decade redistricting, which preserved a strong GOP tilt in the Tampa Bay area seat. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis advanced unopposed through the August primary and enters the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman with consistent support from forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Traders reflect this structural advantage and Bilirakis's long record of comfortable reelection margins in the district. A Republican victory remains the clear consensus outcome, though shifts in national midterm dynamics, unexpected candidate-specific developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
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